I like to read AI as Al (i.e. Allen) and pretend he’s just some guy stealing ideas, lying, and generally fucking up at his job. Al is an asshole
The last part is wrong. They aren’t imagining improvement. They know this is it for now and they’re lying their asses off to pretend that they’ll be able to keep improving it when there’s no training data left. The grift is all that’s left.
AI will get better
Aren’t LLM already pretty much out of (past) training data? Like, they’ve already chewed through Reddit/Facebook etc and are now caught up to current posts. Of course people will continue talking online and they’ll continue to use it to train AI. But if devouring decades of human data, basically everything online, resulted in models that hallucinate, lie to us, and regurgitate troll posts, how can it reach the exponential improvement they promise us!? It already has all the data, has been trained on it, and the average person still sees no value in it…
My wife works for a hospital system and they now interact with a chat bot. Somehow it’s HIPAA compliant, I dunno. But I said to her, all it’s doing is learning the functions of you and your coworkers, and it will eventually figure out how to streamline your position. So theres more to learn, but it’s moved into private sectors too.
Your mistake is in thinking AI is giving incorrect responses. What if we simply change our definition of correctness and apply the rubric that whatever AI creates must be superior to human work product? What if we just assume AI is right and work backwards from there?
Then AI is actually perfect and the best thing to feed AI as training data is more AI output. That’s the next logical step forward. Eventually, we won’t even need humans. We’ll just have perfect machines perfectly executing perfection.
What if we invent inbred robots?
That’s pretty much what neural networks are
Number 3 drives me hair-tearing insane, I have straight up seen AI cultists say AI will fix the power grid but only if we keep pouring resources into it so that it can fix all our problems. ಠ_ಠ
I’m very confident that with carte blanche the electrical engineers already overseeing the grid could solve the problems it faces. We don’t need an ai miracle, we need to remove bureaucratic and funding obstacles for critical infrastructure.
And this is it: Many of those “AI will be so smart that it can solve these problems for us!” arguments refer to problems where having a “smart” enough solution isn’t the problem… Getting people to care/notice/participate/get out of the way is.
The great AI decrees that you must increase solar and wind subsidies! And pay no attention to the electrical engineer behind the curtain!
An intelligent entity told us to do it. Humanity: Nah
An artificially intelligent entity told us to do it. Humanity: Well shit let’s get to work!
Okay, yes true. But have you considered that Big Number Go Up? Do you really want to miss the boat on this massive speculative opportunity?
The trillion dollar problem is paying billions of pesky workers to work
I think that’s the obvious implication of this question, but you’re missing the implied question arising from that answer: is this a problem we want to solve in this way ?